According to the NYT, it’s the US Administration.

In private, administration officials concede that there is no single piece of intelligence that can undermine the Iraqi declarations.

Instead, they say, there are only patterns of Iraqi purchases, the scattered reports of defectors and Mr. Hussein’s own history of making “final” declarations that eventually proved to be neither final nor true.

Based on this and the reasoning I’ve set out previously, I’m going to go out on a limb and predict that there will be no war with Iraq. There are a lot of uncertainties, and I could easily end up with egg on my face, but that’s what blogging’s all about.