Early exit polls are showing Kerry ahead in nearly all the swing states – I don’t know how much weight to place on this. Slate is releasing exit polls as they come to hand, and is rather hard to reach as a result. The major networks have agreed not to release exit polls until voting has finished.
A more solid positive indicator is very high turnout, particularly in Democratic precincts.
Good coverage is at myDD or you can tune into the NRO Corner to see what the Bush camp is making of all this.
Access to US sites with any data is getting steadily worse. So I’ll post these numbers leaked to Wonkette – usual caveats apply
FL: 52/48 – KERRY
OH: 52/47 – KERRY
MI: 51/48 – KERRY
PA: 58/42 – KERRY
IA: 50/48 – KERRY
WI: 53/47 – KERRY
MN: 57/42 – KERRY
NH: 58/41 – KERRY
ME: 55/44 – KERRY
NM: 49/49 – TIE
NV: 48/49 – BUSH
CO: 49/50 – BUSH
AR: 45/54 – BUSH
NC: 47/53 – BUSH
For those who haven’t been following obsessively, this means (with the usual kilo of salt) that Kerry is leading in all the main swing states, and some that were seen as leaning to Bush.
Update Rather belatedly, the betting markets are swinging heavily to Kerry – they’re also hard to reach. You can follow updates in this thread at Crooked Timber
John Quiggin 
Both Nine and Seven are going to live coverage at 11am EDT. Have not checked with the ABC yet.
As disappointed as I was with Labor’s loss, this would be a very sweet win indeed….
Here here. And Howard would have put his foot in it again too. (Backing Bush and all).
I am enjoying NPR radio’s live online coverage from Washington http://www.npr.org/ in conjunction with their website visuals
The NYT has called Texas for Kerry. If that’s true, then it’s time to invoke an old Greek saying:
“It’s all over, Red Rover”.
if bush wins, in one sense howard’s political acumen will have been confirmed, in that he was right not to wait till after the u.s. election to schedule our own.
but, as b s. f points out, in another sense he will have made an ass of himself in publicly backing bush. so yeah, jury’s still out.
I just saw an update on the Oz website that suggests Bush is well ahead. Am I misunderstanding the system over there? Stats given are:
“Democrat John Kerry 7,136,379 popular votes – 45 per cent
Has won 10 states including the District of Columbia with 108 electoral college votes. Leads in four states with 42 electoral votes.
President George W Bush 8,637,017 popular votes – 54 per cent
Has won 12 states with 111 electoral college votes. Leads in eight states with 112 electoral college votes”
I admit, I’m not strong on their system, but how does this put Kerry in the lead?
looking at ohio and florida figures on CNN seems to put bush ahead 52 to 48 approximately in both.