As I mentioned below, I had an email discussion with Gerard Henderson regarding the proportion of alarmist cranks in the Coalition parties (he says 75 per cent, while I think a near-majority of Liberals and perhaps even some Nats are pro-science). The whole thing has now been posted at his Media Watch Dog site, but with an odd twist.
The conceit of the site is that the material is posted, not by Henderson, but by his dog. As if to demonstrate this, the item (taken directly from our emails) has my name repeatedly mis-spelt as “Quiggan”.
See my earlier comment on your “Fin Review” thread.
“Sh**ty-foot” would suit these types perfectly.
His suggestion of 75% cranks is a mixture of projection, hubris, paternalism and wishful thinking.
PS: It would be a safe bet that whatever the true percentage, it would be the same in the ALP +/- about 5%.
Boy. He sure shows an incapacity to spell your surname correctly, Pr Quiggin.
That aside, I think his estimate of the cranks is closer to the mark, in spite of the previous vote being a close minority for Turnbull – they are cranks who do not like Abbott for leader, that is all 🙂
According to this survey Just prior to the election, only 38% of coalition agreed humans are heating the planet with GHGs, compared to 87% of Labor.
Click to access PLCCI-report-Kelly-Fielding.pdf
I note that the number who disagree that we are heating the planet (the real cranks) is 28% of the coalition. Compared to 5% of ALP.
So JQ is close in if we remove the undecided (or assume pro-rata distribution). And Henderson is close if we count all the undecided as cranks.
JQ justifiably optimistic, GH ever the pessimist.
He is an interesting anomaly, 27% of coalition and 76% ALP believe the IPCC give sound advice. But only 6% of Coalition and 44% ALP recognize a 2 degrees rise as the safe limit to warming.
“2 degrees rise as the safe limit to warming”
Safe?
No wonder we’re doomed.
I think its actually that 2 degrees warming is the point where probability of dangerousness tipping points is 50%. I.e not that safe, as its a toss of the coins as to whether or not we avoid or pass dangerous feedbacks.
That misspelling makes me think of Spriggan, the anime about a cyborg warrior. Not sure what that denotes.
Henderson is one of those rightists who think you can fix the economy with “increasing expenditure” without having the honesty to say where this so-called increased expenditure comes from. In fact it is increased debt. he also support artificially increasing the population.
But worse – he also denies the savage mass slaughter inflicted on Australian natives in Australian history. Although he may have been writing on Aprils Fools day, nonetheless on on 8 April 2008, Henderson published his claim that:
…wilful murder or attempted murder engaged in, or sanctioned, by a government or movement never happened in Australia.
Australian wealth and Australian civilisation is based on, and derived from, the most atrocious and wilful mass murder right across the continent.
Only rightists deny this fact.
The revolt and mass resignation by those on Turnbulls front bench followed an alleged heated debate over the ETS. So the subsequent leadership vote was essentially on the ETS. But let’s accept Hendos version and calculation that 75% are climate cranks.
When I put “Henderson + Quiggin” as search term in google, a lot of references came up. When I put in “Henderson + Quiggan”, no reference came up.
JQ, I thoroughly enjoyed reading your FinRev article.
Hendo’s logical thought capacity on at least this issue is somewhat weatherbeaten. His cringeworthy performance a couple of weeks back on Q&A needs to be borne in mind. The question arose as to the role of AGW in the recent series of weather-related catastrophes. Hendo was at great pains to solemnly declare that, as an historian, he could say that there had been weather-related catastrophes in the past. As though this complete non sequitur were a killer argument. And as though arguing from authority added weight to this observation, which had all the persuasive force of ‘my great grandfather smoked and he lived to 90’.
Sadly, the rest of the Q&A panel were apparently in awe of Hendo’s powers of deduction. It would be a useful service to Q&A listeners to have in the subtitles a fallacy meter for each of the panel members, as well as Tony Jones.
@Hal9000
Yes, Henderson’s mode of denial is a form of pretend skepticism.
His performance was discussed here: HENDERSON
A scab.
If Hendo isnt careful he may end up with a biography as interesting as Piers Ackerman’s on Wikipedia…
Where do we get these people and how do they end up with any credibility as mainstream journalists?. Its so tacky. Im really surprised Murdoch hasnt thought of recruiting from Long Bay Jail or the Hells angels yet.
@Donald Oats
I’m trying to think of what sort of crank would prefer Turnbull as leader to Abbott. Hmm, still thinking.
…wilful murder or attempted murder engaged in, or sanctioned, by a government or movement never happened in Australia.
…depends on your definition of “movement”.
Australian wealth and Australian civilisation is based on, and derived from, the most atrocious and wilful mass murder right across the continent.
…is true.
It’s an interesting historical curiosity that the colonial government was never engaged in, and made some (fairly half-hearted but actual) attempts to stop settlers from engaging in, the murder of Aborigines. But using that fact as a proxy for the pretence that Australia’s expansion and wealth wasn’t based on mass murder is immensely dishonest.
Indeed, it’s a good example of the kind of argument that those at the less stupid end of the AGW denialist spectrum often like to make: pretending, primarily so you can con unthinking people, that your cited fact (which is true) disproves another assertion (when it doesn’t).
I think, John, that you may have just earned yourself the everlasting fame of a regular weekly spot on Media Watch Dog. Kudos! 🙂
Philip Coorey in Saturday’s Sydney Morning Herald referred to a research paper by the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy in ANU, based on a late 2009 survey of federal MPs, which found about 40 per cent of Coalition MPs were ”climate change deniers” and one-fifth believe climate change warrants an urgent response
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/battle-to-the-death-on-carbon-20110304-1bhym.html
The study draws on a low sample.
Click to access CCEP-8-10.pdf
john b:
No, no, that’s not necessary. Wilful murders happened on orders from the NSW government:
I have absolutely no idea why anyone ever engages Gerard Henderson in anything remotely resembling public policy debate. he’s stuck back in his salad days, constantly obessing over irrelevancies from 50 years ago. He has no insight into Ausralia in the 21st century. He’s also a really boring writer.