Given the centrality of warblogging* in the growth of the blogging phenomenon, particularly in the US, I am fascinated by the question of how the blog world would adapt to a resolution of the Iraqi crisis based on weapons inspections rather than war. So far, all I’ve found in warblogging circles is denial. I think it’s clear though, that such a resolution would be the end of warblogging in the classic sense. Of course, there’s still the real war on terror, that is, the struggle against al Qaeda and its offshoots, but this won’t serve as a basis for warblogging for two reasons:
(a) news is too infrequent and sketchy; and, more importantly
(b) everyone’s in favour of it.
Of course, there are disagreements about tactics, and more serious issues about civil liberties, but warbloggers are as divided as everyone else on these questions.
The big question then is, what, if anything, will replace warblogging at the centre of the blogosphere? My best guess is that we will see a breakup into a large number of intersecting spheres with no obvious centre. This has already happened here to a limited extent as “Ozplogistan” has become a distinct virtual reality rather than a possible label for the Australian minority of the US-centred blogworld.
*Warblogger, like ‘economic rationalist’, is the kind of term most people rightly dislike, but find to be inescapable in talking about a large and more or less likeminded group. And, in both cases, the group concerned used it first.