Ozymandias

From almost any viewpoint, including that of opponents of the war such as myself, the capture of Saddam Hussein, represents good news, made better by the ignominy of his surrender. When the Iraq war and its justifications , spurious and otherwise, are forgotten, the image of the great dictator being dug out of the hole in which he had hidden will remain, along with the inglorious ends of Mussolini, Hitler, Ceausescu, and others, as a warning to those who might plan to follow the same path.

Monday Message Board

It’s time for your comments on any topic (civilised discussion and no coarse language please). I’ve already posted briefly on today’s big news, the capture of Saddam Hussein, and will probably post again, so comments on that topic might best be placed in those threads.

Is Saddam the key (repost)

Here’s what I had to say about the possible capture of Saddam a month or so ago.

Back in early April, I observed that the Iraq campaign was a war of absences. Some of the mysteries posed by those absences have now been resolved. For example, everyone now knows that the Weapons of Mass Destruction did not exist. But the big remaining mystery is Saddam. It seems pretty clear that he got away from Baghdad safely, and likely that he’s still alive.

On thinking about it, I have the feeling that Saddam is, in a sense, the key to the entire situation. On the one hand, suppose Saddam is caught or (more likely) killed. Whether or not this led to a reduction in terror/resistance attacks, the pressure for a quick American withdrawal would, I think, quickly become irresistible. For most of the Americans who still support the war, this would, I think, count as “Mission Accomplished”, whatever happened in Iraq afterwards.

On the other hand, as long as Saddam is at large, and the security situation remains anything like it is at present, a US withdrawal will be seen as “cutting and running”, and will therefore be resisted with great vigour.

Now we’ll see if this analysis stands up.

Once bitten

I notice even those who would like it to be true are holding off from endorsing this Telegraph report of an Iraqi memo proving not only that Saddam Hussein arranged the training of S11 terrorist Mohammed Atta and planned the attacks, but that the Niger uranium story was true after all.

The Telegraph seems to have a unique capacity to discover Iraqi memos proving whatever would be convenient on any given day. In the world of Telegraph memos, ties between OBL and Saddam are old news.

Then there’s the memo that supposedly showed that pro-Saddam MP George Galloway received large payments from Saddam. This is currently the subject of court action, but similar documents published by another newspaper have already been discredited.

Update It looks as if this kind of speculation may be irrelevant, if, as reported, Saddam has been captured

A snippet on the generation game

This is one of a series of posts where I include bits cut from longer articles for space and other reasons.

Oddly enough, to the extent that there is anything remotely new in generational rhetoric, it was perfected by members of a generation that is never mentioned in these discussions, and even lacks a name. Those born in the low-birthrate years between 1930 and 1945 were too young to join the ‘Greatest Generation’ that fought World War II, and too few to share in the experiences of the Baby Boomers.

Nevertheless, they were the first cohort to be known as ‘teenagers’, the first to experience a ‘generation gap’ and both the first and last to have music that was specifically their own, creating both rock music and the now-cliched postures of rebellion that go along with it. The archetypal phrase ‘never trust anyone over 30’ was popularised by Abby Hoffman (born in 1936) and Jerry Rubin (born in 1938) – not one of the famous Chicago Seven was a Baby Boomer.

Thanks and warning!

Robert Corr has kindly spent much of his weekend fixing up the database corruption problem that affected the whole mentalspace domain. This leads me to reissue a warning that I had hoped was no longer necessary. If you’re writing what you think may be deathless prose in a comments box, keep a backup copy!

Grade deflation

Hi. Robert here. We’ve encountered a problem with John’s blog (and mine and a couple of others) involving database corruption.

My first priority has been to get John posting again, and it seems that is now possible.

Next on the list is to restore his archives. I’ve created 1426 empty placeholder posts, one for each of John’s real posts to date, which will protect his permalinks from being over-written by new posts. Over the next few days, I’ll go back and replace those placeholders with the real text.

When that’s finished, we’ll work on the comments. Hopefully everything will be back to normal by the end of the week — and this time, we’ll have a more rigorous backup regime to make life simpler when things like this happen!

Worth watching

The elections in Northern Cyprus this weekend could turn out to be the most important held in 2003, even though there are only 140 000 voters and the result won’t be recognised anywhere outside the Northern Cyprus enclave and its increasingly reluctant sponsor, Turkey.

The elections raise the prospect that Turkish Cypriots will finally dump separatist leader Rauf Denktash and join the rest of Cyprus when it enters the EU next year. That in turn would remove the biggest single obstacle to the admission of Turkey to candidate status, a process that would probably lead to Turkish entry to the EU around 2010. The EU has rightly kept Turkey at arms length while demanding improvements in human rights and efforts to resolve the Cyprus question, but any further delay can only be seen as the product of a search for excuses.

As I’ve said before, the admission of Turkey to the EU (or its exclusion) is in many ways, the biggest single geopolitical question facing the world today. For a start, it would mean that Europe would have borders with Iran, Iraq and Syria. More generally, the success or failure of Europe in integrating Muslim countries, beginning with Turkey, will do more to determine future relations between Islam and the West than any military expedition.

The case against speed limits

In a couple of recent posts, I mentioned estimates that higher speed limits adopted by a number of US states cost 1900 lives between 1996 and 1999, and, presumably, a similar number since then. One of those killed was motorcyclist Randy Scott, run down by Congressmen Bill Janklow, a chronic speeder and advocate of lax speed enforcement.

Today’s NYT runs an Op-Ed piece by Judy Blunt defending the repeal of speed limits. I couldn’t find anything here substantive enough to comment on, but I’m providing the link so readers can make up their own minds.

Sauce for the goose

In a report in today’s AFR (subscription required), Law Council of Australia president Bob Gotterson attacks a proposal to have medical malpractice lawsuits assessed by a panel of doctors before proceeding to trial. As he says

professionals should not be able to veto a citizen obtaining compensation from one of their colleagues

In a spirit of compromise, I offer the following suggestion. Why not appoint a panel of doctors and let them arbitrate on complaints against lawyers